EDE - Extinction Date Estimation from Sighting Records
Estimates the historic date of extinction of a species
from a time-ordered record of sighting events. Given a table of
sighting counts per year, computes extinction date estimators
from the sighting-record literature: optimal linear estimation
and its Weibull extreme-value persistence test (Roberts &
Solow, 2003; Solow, 2005), constant-rate and declining-rate
persistence tests (Solow, 1993), a sighting-rate persistence
test comparable across records with different observation
periods (McInerny, Roberts, Davy & Cribb, 2006), a classical
confidence interval on the end of a temporal range (Strauss &
Sadler, 1989), a truncation-point extrapolation (Robson &
Whitlock, 1964), and a combinatorial persistence test based on
inclusion-exclusion over sighting-gap occupancy (Burgman,
Grimson & Ferson, 1995). Also implements a nonparametric
endpoint test (Solow & Roberts, 2003), a sighting-interval
trend index (Jarić & Ebenhard, 2010), and reliability-adjusted
inference for uncertain records (Jarić & Roberts, 2014). Every
estimator is built on a validated input object and returns a
common result class with, where defined, a point estimate, a
confidence interval, or a full p-value curve.